Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000980 0.001016 0.001053 0.001092 0.001135 0.001179 0.001227
2025-09-14 0.000908 0.000960 0.001015 0.001077 0.001145 0.001218 0.001302
2025-09-21 0.000851 0.000913 0.000981 0.001060 0.001149 0.001248 0.001366
2025-09-28 0.000809 0.000880 0.000958 0.001051 0.001159 0.001283 0.001436
2025-10-05 0.000759 0.000833 0.000917 0.001017 0.001137 0.001277 0.001456
2025-10-12 0.000730 0.000809 0.000899 0.001009 0.001143 0.001303 0.001513
2025-10-19 0.000709 0.000793 0.000889 0.001009 0.001158 0.001340 0.001585
2025-10-26 0.000686 0.000773 0.000873 0.001000 0.001161 0.001360 0.001635
2025-11-02 0.000671 0.000761 0.000866 0.001002 0.001176 0.001396 0.001708
2025-11-09 0.000653 0.000744 0.000853 0.000995 0.001179 0.001416 0.001760
2025-11-16 0.000634 0.000726 0.000837 0.000983 0.001174 0.001426 0.001796
2025-11-23 0.000628 0.000724 0.000840 0.000996 0.001203 0.001481 0.001900
2025-11-30 0.000617 0.000716 0.000836 0.000999 0.001220 0.001520 0.001986
2025-12-07 0.000602 0.000701 0.000824 0.000990 0.001219 0.001536 0.002036
2025-12-14 0.000586 0.000685 0.000809 0.000978 0.001213 0.001542 0.002073
2025-12-21 0.000574 0.000673 0.000798 0.000971 0.001214 0.001560 0.002128
2025-12-28 0.000552 0.000650 0.000772 0.000942 0.001182 0.001527 0.002099
2026-01-04 0.000541 0.000639 0.000762 0.000935 0.001182 0.001540 0.002146
2026-01-11 0.000534 0.000632 0.000758 0.000936 0.001192 0.001569 0.002223
2026-01-18 0.000523 0.000622 0.000748 0.000928 0.001189 0.001579 0.002266
2026-01-25 0.000517 0.000616 0.000745 0.000929 0.001200 0.001611 0.002350
2026-02-01 0.000508 0.000607 0.000736 0.000923 0.001199 0.001623 0.002400
2026-02-08 0.000497 0.000596 0.000725 0.000912 0.001191 0.001624 0.002427